{"id":94417,"date":"2020-05-28T13:00:04","date_gmt":"2020-05-28T11:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/estatemedia.dk\/dk\/?p=94417"},"modified":"2020-05-30T11:03:26","modified_gmt":"2020-05-30T09:03:26","slug":"blog-tre-drivere-i-et-staerkt-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/2020\/05\/28\/blog-tre-drivere-i-et-staerkt-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"Blog: Tre drivere i st\u00e6rkt recovery i nordisk transaktionsmarked"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Markedskommentar af partner og Head of Denmark Jacob Kj\u00e6r, Nordan\u00f6<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Covid-19 samt de tiltag, som regeringer har foretaget rundt om i verden, herunder det omfattende lock-down, har p\u00e5virket ejendomsmarkederne globalt og s\u00e5ledes ogs\u00e5 nordisk. Men de\u00a0nordiske ejendomsmarkeder har alle solide underliggende karakteristika, som giver mulighed for et st\u00e6rkt recovery. Specielt i Danmark har vi oplevet, at momentum er skiftet til det positive i takt med gen\u00e5bningen, og at investorerne igen er aktive og p\u00e5 udkig efter investeringsmuligheder<\/p>\n<p>Nordan\u00f6 ser fremfor alt tre drivere i et st\u00e6rk recovery i de nordiske transaktionsmarkeder i H2 2020:<\/p>\n<p>F\u00f8rst og fremmest er der solide makro\u00f8konomier:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>Danmark, Sverige og Norge er blandt kun 10 lande i verden med AAA-rating af statsg\u00e6ld<\/li>\n<li>Lav offentlig g\u00e6lds\u00e6tning har givet mulighed for at indf\u00f8re de tilstr\u00e6kkelige hj\u00e6lpepakker til at holde h\u00e5nden under \u00f8konomien og virksomhederne uden at skade de offentlige finanser og landenes kreditrating p\u00e5 l\u00e6ngere sigt<\/li>\n<li>De nordiske lande er karakteriseret af en h\u00f8j grad af finansiel stabilitet, der underst\u00f8ttes af en st\u00e6rk og solid finansiel sektor, stabil BNP-udvikling og en lav statsg\u00e6ld til BNP<\/li>\n<li>Specielt Danmark har haft en succesfuld h\u00e5ndtering af Covid-19 med lav smittespredning og et v\u00e6sentligt reduceret smittetryk i forhold til ved nedlukningen, og vi er aktuelt langt fremme i gen\u00e5bning af landet og \u00f8konomien<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>St\u00e6rke finansieringsmarkeder:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>Yield gap er fortsat s\u00e6rdeles attraktivt i et historisk s\u00e5vel som internationalt perspektiv<\/li>\n<li>Inflationen er omkring nul, s\u00e5 renterne forventes at forblive yderst lave i lang tid<\/li>\n<li>Bel\u00e5ningsgraderne hos ejendomsinvestorerne er konservative, og kapitalstrukturerne er velkapitaliseret med en h\u00f8j grad af egenkapital<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Velkapitaliserede ejendomsmarkeder i Norden:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>Rekordvolumen i Q1 2020 p\u00e5 tv\u00e6rs af Norden, men Covid-19 har reduceret transaktionsaktiviteten markant i Q2 2020<\/li>\n<li>K\u00f8berne er stadig tilstede p\u00e5 markedet og p\u00e5 udkig efter investeringsmuligheder<\/li>\n<li>All-equity investorer er pt. mest konkurrencedygtige<\/li>\n<li>Kontor, logistik og bolig er de prioriterede segmenter blandt investorerne<\/li>\n<li>Yield niveauerne for de prioriterede segmenter er ikke v\u00e6sentligt p\u00e5virket af Covid-19<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Yield gap er historisk h\u00f8j og renterne lave <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yield gap er historisk h\u00f8jt i de nordiske lande, hvor Danmark har det h\u00f8jeste og mest attraktive spread p\u00e5 hele 4 procent. Det har f\u00e5et investorerne til at favorisere Danmark gennem l\u00e6ngere tid, og vi forventer, at dette vil forts\u00e6tte post Covid-19. Selv hvis l\u00e5ngivere skulle \u00f8ge marginalerne p\u00e5 grund af for eksempel usikkerhed om fundingomkostningerne, er yield gap meget attraktivt historisk set og i en international sammenligning.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-94421\" src=\"https:\/\/estatemedia.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield-.png 1826w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--300x148.png 300w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--768x378.png 768w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--1536x755.png 1536w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--705x347.png 705w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--440x216.png 440w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--692x340.png 692w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--338x166.png 338w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--220x108.png 220w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/yield--508x250.png 508w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Rentesatserne forventes at forblive lave i en overskuelig fremtid. Den 10-\u00e5rige statsobligationsrente er negativ i Danmark, Sverige og Finland. USAs 10-\u00e5rige statsobligationer er under 1 procent for f\u00f8rste gang nogensinde. Hertil kommer, at styringsrenterne i Danmark, Sverige og Finland er under eller p\u00e5 nul \u2013 og de forventes ikke at stige p\u00e5 kort sigt.<\/p>\n<p>Den norske styringsrente er blevet nedsat med 150 bps til 0 i 2020 \u2013 parallelt hermed faldt den 5Y-swaprente med 150 bps, og den norske krone er blevet afskrevet med 12 procent i forhold til EUR. Den danske 5Y-swaprente forbliver den mest attraktive i Norden p\u00e5 -0,09 procent, hvilket kun vil \u00f8ge investeringslysten og appetitten efter ejendomsinvesteringer i Danmark.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-94431\" src=\"https:\/\/estatemedia.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"311\" srcset=\"https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap-.png 1574w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--768x367.png 768w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--1536x734.png 1536w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--705x337.png 705w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--440x210.png 440w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--692x331.png 692w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--338x161.png 338w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--220x105.png 220w, https:\/\/estatemedia-test.estatekonference.dk\/dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swap--523x250.png 523w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Alt i alt forventer vi et hurtigt pick-up i transaktionsaktiviteten i Danmark \u2013 og dermed forventer vi et yderst travlt H2 2020. Vores pipeline af mandater er st\u00f8t voksende, og vores anbefaling til investorerne er \u00a0at forberede transaktionerne nu med henblik p\u00e5 at kunne eksekvere p\u00e5 dem henover eller umiddelbart efter sommeren.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e6s flere blogindl\u00e6g <a href=\"https:\/\/estatemedia.dk\/dk\/category\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">her<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"conference-block\" style=\"background-color:#7B5957;padding:15px;color:#ffffff;margin:15px 0px 15px 0px;\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/arrangement\/267\/om\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"conference-date\" style=\"color:#ffffff\">H\u00f8r mere den 26. november 2026 i   p\u00e5 konferencen:<\/p>\n\t\t\t<h3 class=\"conference-title\" style=\"color:#ffffff\">Retail 2026 <\/h3>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"conference-date\" style=\"color:#ffffff\">Se hele programmet og tilmelding her<\/p>\n\t\t<\/a>\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n<br\/><br\/><br\/>\n<p>Det skete i forbindelse med overr\u00e6kkelse af diplom, et glas champagne og en peptalk af Rikke Lykke, adm. direkt\u00f8r i Deas Gruppen, efter Estate Medias chefredakt\u00f8r, Kamilla Sevel, havde budt velkommen til de udvalgte talenter, som med stolthed var samlet i k\u00f8lvandet p\u00e5 offentligg\u00f8relsen af \u00e5rets eftertragtede talentliste.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"col-container\">\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/arrangement\/267\/om\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#575D65;text-align: left;  \">\n\t\t <img class=\"conf-teaser-image\" src=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/upload\/1761737691-retail_26.jpg \" style=\"\"\/>\n\t  <\/div>\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#575D65;\">\n\t\t<div style=\"color:#fff;padding:20px;\">\n\t\t\t<div  style=\"margin-bottom:10px;font-size:1.5vh ;\">26. november 2026<\/div>\n\t\t\t<h1 style=\"font-size:2.1vh ;\">- hvad mangler K\u00f8benhavn? <\/h1>\n\t\t\t<div style=\"margin-top:10px;background-color:#BDBBAF;border-radius:4rem;padding:5px;width:80%;margin-left:10%;cursor:pointer;color:#555E67;font-weight:600;font-size:1.4vh ;\">\n\t\t\t\tL\u00e6s mere og tilmeld dig her\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t  <\/div>\n  <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n<br\/><br\/><br\/>\n<p>Det skete i forbindelse med overr\u00e6kkelse af diplom, et glas champagne og en peptalk af Rikke Lykke, adm. direkt\u00f8r i Deas Gruppen, efter Estate Medias chefredakt\u00f8r, Kamilla Sevel, havde budt velkommen til de udvalgte talenter, som med stolthed var samlet i k\u00f8lvandet p\u00e5 offentligg\u00f8relsen af \u00e5rets eftertragtede talentliste.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"col-container\">\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/arrangement\/267\/om\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#fff;text-align: left;  \">\n\t\t <img class=\"conf-teaser-image\" src=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/upload\/1761737691-retail_26.jpg \" style=\"object-fit: contain;\"\/>\n\t  <\/div>\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#575D65;\">\n\t\t<div style=\"color:#fff;padding:20px;\">\n\t\t\t<div  style=\"margin-bottom:10px;font-size:1.5vh ;\">26. november 2026<\/div>\n\t\t\t<h1 style=\"font-size:2.1vh ;\">- hvad mangler K\u00f8benhavn? <\/h1>\n\t\t\t<div style=\"margin-top:10px;background-color:#BDBBAF;border-radius:4rem;padding:5px;width:80%;margin-left:10%;cursor:pointer;color:#555E67;font-weight:600;font-size:1.4vh ;\">\n\t\t\t\tL\u00e6s mere og tilmeld dig her\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t  <\/div>\n  <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n<br\/><br\/><br\/>\n<p>Det skete i forbindelse med overr\u00e6kkelse af diplom, et glas champagne og en peptalk af Rikke Lykke, adm. direkt\u00f8r i Deas Gruppen, efter Estate Medias chefredakt\u00f8r, Kamilla Sevel, havde budt velkommen til de udvalgte talenter, som med stolthed var samlet i k\u00f8lvandet p\u00e5 offentligg\u00f8relsen af \u00e5rets eftertragtede talentliste.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"col-container\">\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/arrangement\/267\/om\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#575D65;text-align: left;  \">\n\t\t <img class=\"conf-teaser-image\" src=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/upload\/1761737691-retail_26.jpg \" style=\"object-fit: contain;\"\/>\n\t  <\/div>\n\t  <div class=\"col\" style=\"background:#575D65;\">\n\t\t<div style=\"color:#fff;padding:20px;\">\n\t\t\t<div  style=\"margin-bottom:10px;font-size:1.5vh ;\">26. november 2026<\/div>\n\t\t\t<h1 style=\"font-size:2.1vh ;\">- hvad mangler K\u00f8benhavn? <\/h1>\n\t\t\t<div style=\"margin-top:10px;background-color:#BDBBAF;border-radius:4rem;padding:5px;width:80%;margin-left:10%;cursor:pointer;color:#555E67;font-weight:600;font-size:1.4vh ;\">\n\t\t\t\tL\u00e6s mere og tilmeld dig her\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t  <\/div>\n  <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n<br\/><br\/><br\/>\n<p>Det skete i forbindelse med overr\u00e6kkelse af diplom, et glas champagne og en peptalk af Rikke Lykke, adm. direkt\u00f8r i Deas Gruppen, efter Estate Medias chefredakt\u00f8r, Kamilla Sevel, havde budt velkommen til de udvalgte talenter, som med stolthed var samlet i k\u00f8lvandet p\u00e5 offentligg\u00f8relsen af \u00e5rets eftertragtede talentliste.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"col-container-allways-small\">\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/arrangement\/267\/om\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t  <div class=\"col-allways-small\" style=\"background:#575D65;text-align: left;  \">\n\t\t <img class=\"conf-teaser-image\" src=\"https:\/\/estatekonference.dk\/upload\/1761737691-retail_26.jpg \" style=\"width:100%;\n\t\theight:auto;\"\/>\n\t  <\/div>\n\t  <div class=\"col-allways-small\" style=\"background:#575D65;\">\n\t\t<div style=\"color:#fff;padding:20px;\">\n\t\t\t<div  style=\"margin-bottom:10px;font-size:1.5vh ;\">26. november 2026<\/div>\n\t\t\t<h1 style=\"font-size:2.1vh ;\">- hvad mangler K\u00f8benhavn? <\/h1>\n\t\t\t<div style=\"margin-top:10px;background-color:#BDBBAF;border-radius:4rem;padding:5px;width:80%;margin-left:10%;cursor:pointer;color:#555E67;font-weight:600;font-size:1.4vh ;\">\n\t\t\t\tL\u00e6s mere og tilmeld dig her\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t  <\/div>\n  <\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markedskommentar af partner og Head of Denmark Jacob Kj\u00e6r, Nordan\u00f6 Covid-19 samt de tiltag, som regeringer har foretaget rundt om i verden, herunder det omfattende lock-down, har p\u00e5virket ejendomsmarkederne globalt og s\u00e5ledes ogs\u00e5 nordisk. Men de\u00a0nordiske ejendomsmarkeder har alle solide underliggende karakteristika, som giver mulighed for et st\u00e6rkt recovery. Specielt i Danmark har vi oplevet, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":94418,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":"","_expiration-date-status":"","_expiration-date":0,"_expiration-date-type":"","_expiration-date-categories":[],"_expiration-date-options":[]},"categories":[1391],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Blog: Tre drivere i st\u00e6rkt recovery i nordisk transaktionsmarked\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markedskommentar af partner og Head of Denmark Jacob Kj\u00e6r, Nordan\u00f6 Covid-19 samt de tiltag, som regeringer har foretaget rundt om i verden, herunder det omfattende lock-down, har p\u00e5virket ejendomsmarkederne globalt og s\u00e5ledes ogs\u00e5 nordisk. Men de\u00a0nordiske ejendomsmarkeder har alle solide underliggende karakteristika, som giver mulighed for et st\u00e6rkt recovery. 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